Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.743644 0.829172 0.922117 1.030880 1.154982 1.292545 1.457081
2025-08-03 0.607012 0.723679 0.860837 1.035092 1.252146 1.515641 1.862828
2025-08-10 0.532262 0.663575 0.826363 1.045234 1.335206 1.711002 2.242781
2025-08-17 0.465667 0.600694 0.775053 1.020073 1.360943 1.826584 2.525252
2025-08-24 0.427890 0.568748 0.757311 1.032979 1.433852 2.008614 2.919540
2025-08-31 0.391018 0.533102 0.729237 1.025909 1.474294 2.145225 3.262014
2025-09-07 0.363741 0.507511 0.711629 1.030243 1.529450 2.307156 3.663906
2025-09-14 0.334818 0.476571 0.682786 1.013654 1.548799 2.413014 3.986015
2025-09-21 0.311078 0.451013 0.659234 1.002017 1.573288 2.527946 4.338012
2025-09-28 0.283357 0.417157 0.620032 0.961298 1.544629 2.548303 4.519540
2025-10-05 0.273080 0.409214 0.620189 0.984151 1.625122 2.766903 5.106393
2025-10-12 0.263008 0.400697 0.618500 1.003301 1.700495 2.984506 5.725999
2025-10-19 0.252159 0.390394 0.613479 1.016940 1.768778 3.200275 6.386495
2025-10-26 0.240504 0.377959 0.603960 1.021774 1.821337 3.392827 7.034026
2025-11-02 0.230807 0.368024 0.597769 1.031752 1.884352 3.613934 7.786967
2025-11-09 0.216220 0.348798 0.574036 1.006970 1.875856 3.684747 8.197857
2025-11-16 0.208778 0.341343 0.570400 1.019683 1.944210 3.928747 9.082070
2025-11-23 0.198971 0.329099 0.557253 1.012719 1.970708 4.083331 9.768364
2025-11-30 0.191532 0.320559 0.550192 1.016988 2.021291 4.299239 10.663677
2025-12-07 0.181836 0.307370 0.533619 1.000648 2.025022 4.405250 11.275351
2025-12-14 0.173482 0.296144 0.519996 0.989185 2.038353 4.536179 11.988114
2025-12-21 0.162116 0.278760 0.493609 0.949075 1.982354 4.487723 12.151891
2025-12-28 0.159106 0.276769 0.496723 0.971587 2.074212 4.828167 13.605767